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RETAIL

Risks and Crisis Issues for

International Corporations in the Retail

Sector – BRICS Countries

Retail in BRICS countries offers a powerful combination of scale, demographic momentum, and untapped consumer segments. However, international retailers entering these markets face a turbulent landscape shaped by inconsistent regulations, protectionist trade policies, and infrastructure deficits. Governments often prioritize domestic competitors through subsidies, tax advantages, or local sourcing mandates. Moreover, informal retail remains dominant in several BRICS economies, making formalization—and thus scalability—a challenge. Political interference in pricing (especially for essentials), foreign ownership restrictions, and shifting e-commerce laws add further layers of complexity.

In the last five years, market trajectories have varied widely. Walmart’s expansion in India via its majority stake in Flipkart has been a relative success, tapping into e-commerce growth while avoiding some of the restrictions on physical foreign retail stores. Conversely, French retail giant Carrefour exited China in 2019 and Brazil in 2023 due to underperformance, rising operational costs, and strategic mismatches. In Russia, global players such as IKEA and H&M were forced to suspend or fully withdraw operations in 2022 due to sanctions and reputational risks following the Ukraine war. South Africa has seen moderate retail growth, but sustained inequality, high unemployment, and frequent load-shedding have strained consumer demand and supply chain continuity.

Foreign retailers must also contend with fast-shifting consumer behaviors, digital disruption, and localization demands. Failure to tailor offerings to local preferences—ranging from product mix to payment solutions—can derail expansion plans. Additionally, e-commerce is often regulated separately, with distinct cybersecurity and data localization laws, particularly in China, Russia, and India. The ability to manage dual-channel models (physical and digital), protect brand integrity, and respond to regulatory shocks is essential for long-term success.

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5 Key Risks

to Consider before Entering BRICS Retail Markets:

1. Regulatory and Market Access Risk – Foreign ownership limits, local sourcing requirements, and barriers to store licensing.

2. Currency and Inflation Risk – High exposure to local currency fluctuations impacting procurement, pricing, and profitability. 

3. E-Commerce and Data Regulation Risk – Varying laws on digital trade, data privacy, and platform operations across jurisdictions. 

4. Supply Chain and Infrastructure Risk – Poor logistics networks, import delays, and unreliable utilities impacting inventory flow. 

5. Sociopolitical and Reputational Risk - Exposure to protests, boycotts, or backlash tied to brand positioning, labor practices, or geopolitical tensions.

TO GO FURTHER

DEVELOPPING STRATEGIES
Set of actions for your corporate growth
  • Market insights

  • Market Approach

  • Local Incorporation

  • Group Process Integration

  • Development Strategy

  • Business Acquisition Strategy

  • Turn-Around & Exit Strategy

  • Interim & Board Representatives

RISK ASSESSMENT & CONTROL
Set of actions for your corporate growth

  • Risk Mapping

  • Risk Assessment & KYC

  • Corporate Risk Avoidance

  • Compliance & Ethics protocols

  • Board Risk Advisory

  • Risk & Crisis know-how

  • Compliance & Risk Managers

BUSINESS & ASSETS SAFETY
Set of actions for your corporate growth
  • Turn-Around and Right Sizing

  • Asset Rescue

  • Fraud Response Plan

  • Corporate control take-over

  • Brand & IP Protection

  • Crisis Management

  • Crisis Communication

CRISIS MANAGEMENT
Know-How, Tools & Resources for Crisis Resolution
  • Crisis Assessment & Source Identification

  • Crisis Management Coordination

  • Crisis Containment & Damage Control

  • Crisis Communication & Media Kit

  • Crisis Cell Infrastructure

  • Crisis Simulation Training [New]

  • Business Recovery Plan & 361° Review

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